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Posted: Wed Feb 01, 2012 6:45 am
by Shwart!!
Feud wrote:It's not just he early voting though, it's the early voting combined with no involvement in the rest of the day. He's making the minimal level of participation to keep from being kicked, which could mean he's just really busy, or it could mean that he's trying to lay low. Plus, he voted right off the bat on day 1 for someone who got eaten.

It's not much to go on, but if I had more for someone else then I'd vote for them instead.

Oh, okay. That makes sense.
It sounds as though he is in fact busy, as opposed to hiding... though I question the wisdom in partying enough that one needs a day to recover.

Posted: Wed Feb 01, 2012 11:40 am
by Foxsake
Ummm based upon the comments and advice from others. Surely Ynbniar was suspicious on day 1? Voting early, giving no proper reason and then disappearing?

Posted: Wed Feb 01, 2012 1:37 pm
by zjoere
The day of recovery was probably a bit of an overstatement since I'm here now. Unfortunately there hasn't been much activity since my early morning post so I'll just keep my vote where it is. I might have to reread the day one posts because a lot happened then but I wasn't really paying much attention.

Posted: Wed Feb 01, 2012 1:52 pm
by Phelanpt
Ynbniar does seem to pop in, vote, and pop out. I would like to know what you found suspicious about zach, since you didn't say specifically.
I'd also like to know where Foxsake is putting his vote.

Posted: Wed Feb 01, 2012 2:01 pm
by Foxsake
Phelanpt wrote:Ynbniar does seem to pop in, vote, and pop out. I would like to know what you found suspicious about zach, since you didn't say specifically.
I'd also like to know where Foxsake is putting his vote.


So are you saying the behaviour pointed out is typical for him? Or were you saying that seems to be how he is now operating?

Posted: Wed Feb 01, 2012 3:46 pm
by Phelanpt
He did it both days. I don't have time to check other previous games right now.

Posted: Wed Feb 01, 2012 3:49 pm
by Cooper42
shwart!! (redacted)

For changing votes late in the day to someone, pushing a tie break situation.

No human reason to do this; he was safe himself and ties don't help us much. Joining a day 1 bandwagon late in the day, with no clear reasoning, is suspiscious.

It's not much, but it will do for day 2.

Posted: Wed Feb 01, 2012 4:12 pm
by microchip08
Zach (redacted), partially as reciprocation but mainly because his initial outlying vote seemed to have the purpose of being incognito (not backing any of the main wagons, keeping the reason brief). Then an attempt to spread-bet followed by a swift reversion once that didn't work?

Current votes [if I can count!]:

Code: Select all

MrBunsy   1
zjoere    2
zach      2
Shwart!!  1

Posted: Wed Feb 01, 2012 4:15 pm
by Foxsake
Phelanpt wrote:He did it both days. I don't have time to check other previous games right now.


I don't expect you too. but you have a wealth of experience with him I don't have.

In that case, my vote is for Ynbniar.

Posted: Wed Feb 01, 2012 4:51 pm
by ynbniar
Phelanpt wrote:Ynbniar does seem to pop in, vote, and pop out.


work, karate, dog walking, work, dark souls....not enough time in the day.

Bit quick to start that bandwagon, and using the new guy as cover...sneaky...wolfy.

Lynch Phelanpt

Posted: Wed Feb 01, 2012 8:50 pm
by Shwart!!

Code: Select all

Lynchee     | Count | Voters
------------+-------+----------------------------------------
MrBunsy     |   1   | zjoere
zjoere      |   2   | MrBunsy, Feud
ynbniar     |   2   | Phelanpt, Foxsake
Shwart      |   1   | Cooper42
Zach        |   1   | microchip08
Phelanpt    |   1   | ynbniar
shinygerbil |   1   | Shwart


That should be up-to-date. Credit to the late Mas for the format in use... poor soul.

I have no real idea what is going on now... there are a few people who are mildly suspicious, but nobody enough to really make me want to get them killed...
You know who's had it too easy, though? shinygerbil. He's so little suspicious that it in itself is the most suspicious. It's the perfect tactic.

Posted: Wed Feb 01, 2012 11:53 pm
by Xarlaxas
You know, I think I'm going to go for Shwart today. The "so innocent he must be guilty" logic is a bit spurious in my opinion and I'm liking the argument that Cooper42 made.

Posted: Thu Feb 02, 2012 12:24 am
by Cooper42
Xarlaxas wrote:You know, I think I'm going to go for Shwart today. The "so innocent he must be guilty" logic is a bit spurious in my opinion and I'm liking the argument that Cooper42 made.
Yes but my reasoning included him pushing a tie. With your vote we now have an absurd four way tie.

Large ties give us nothing. Wolves can be part of them, but, as a minority of a tie, are probably willing to take the risk. It also increases the chance that we lynch a human tonight. The chances of there being four humans in the toss are pretty high. Higher than the chance of a wolf being amongst those four and the wolf losing the toss.

So I move my vote to ynbniar In the hope that breaking the tie produces something to go on.

Posted: Thu Feb 02, 2012 12:40 am
by Shwart!!
Xarlaxas wrote:You know, I think I'm going to go for Shwart today. The "so innocent he must be guilty" logic is a bit spurious in my opinion and I'm liking the argument that Cooper42 made.

I was being sarcastic. :P I just don't have any better options that aren't equally silly.

I'll admit my actions yesterday were kind of suspicious. For what it's worth, it wasn't about the tie, as it was about Jordy (yes, I am still rather biased against him.) But I can see how it would be pretty suspicious, looking like it was to save Xarlaxas... who, incidentally, just threw me into danger.

Much appreciated, by the way. ;)

Oh, and Cooper42, it was but a 3-way tie. Only halfway absurd.

As of now:

Code: Select all

Lynchee     | Count | Voters
------------+-------+----------------------------------------
MrBunsy     |   1   | zjoere
zjoere      |   2   | MrBunsy, Feud
ynbniar     |   3   | Phelanpt, Foxsake, Cooper42
Shwart      |   1   | Xarlaxas
Zach        |   1   | microchip08
Phelanpt    |   1   | ynbniar
shinygerbil |   1   | Shwart

Posted: Thu Feb 02, 2012 12:45 am
by Xarlaxas
I really should read the orange boxes, shouldn't I? :P

Ties are interesting because they give us more variables to analyse (if you can be bothered), but that's a bit of a double-edged sword as that gives the wolves (and rogue wolf) more room to hide themselves in. . . .

All's fair in love and werewolf hunting? ;)

I really must admit that I'm not really very convinced one way or another, but I'm just acting on what sounds most reasonable at the time.

[Mostly due to boring real-life situations I must admit]