Jelco's TWG: Game over: Wolves win!

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zjoere
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Postby zjoere » Thu Jan 12, 2012 10:58 pm

Looks like Jordy pissed of the wrong people. Now let's take a closer look at the voting yesterday.
We can form some groups in the voting pattern:

1)The Jordy bandwagon:
Xarlaxas
Xander
Feud
Vicious

2) The anti-bandwagon voting:
Mas Tnega
Trickser
MrBunsy
zjoere
Phelanpt
Jordy

3)Other votes:
ybniar
Xocrates
shinygerbil
cooper42

4)Not voting:
Microchip08
Seitaro

If the wolves are playing this smart they probably spread their votes among the different groups. So until we got more information I'll wait to cast a vote.
I know technically ybniar voted against feud but this happened before feud was part of the Jordy bandwagon so that's why I listed him under the other votes. Feel free to correct this in case I missed a vote. Microchip posted but didn't vote. No word from Seitaro unless I missed it.
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Postby xander » Thu Jan 12, 2012 11:07 pm

I am suspicious of anyone that jumps onto a Day 1 bandwagon, especially when that bandwagon is already three deep. Since DTNC Vicious was the fourth person to vote Jordy..., I think that I shall vote that we lynch him today.

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Postby Xocrates » Thu Jan 12, 2012 11:35 pm

Hmm... If Jordy hadn't died, my preleminary vote would probably go for Phelanpt, since his fairly late switch was what doomed Feud and as such he seemed to be trying to protect Jordy.

However, it really doesn't make a lot of sense to protect someone just to kill it during the night, so I'm going to invoke the great and powerful RNG god and vote for MrBunsy (retracted) until further developments/analysis.
Last edited by Xocrates on Fri Jan 13, 2012 5:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby Phelanpt » Thu Jan 12, 2012 11:55 pm

I'm putting a vote on Seitaro for now.
Edit: retracted
Last edited by Phelanpt on Sat Jan 14, 2012 1:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby DTNC Vicious » Fri Jan 13, 2012 12:05 am

xander wrote:I am suspicious of anyone that jumps onto a Day 1 bandwagon, especially when that bandwagon is already three deep. Since DTNC Vicious was the fourth person to vote Jordy..., I think that I shall vote that we lynch him today.

xander


you were on that Bandwagon also....and i joined it because his posts were annoying thats it..
-Vic
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Postby Mas Tnega » Fri Jan 13, 2012 1:23 am

I'm not big on voting inactives and I'm not big on day 2 RNG votes.

I'm not sure about voting DNTC Vicious. Out the four who did vote for Feud, choosing him makes some kind of sense. On day random, voting can go anywhere.

Phelanpt's an interesting one. He changed from xander to Feud, going from 3-2-2 to 3-3-1. If xander were a wolf, that would be an extremely obvious play (voting a fellow wolf in the first place... not so much).

Either Xarlaxas or xander make decent suspects; that they voted for Captain Annoying just means they went for the soft target to escape a random day 1 loss. xander makes a better fit for the role because of how damned defensive that post was. Better to have just taken refuge in audacity, to be honest.


My vote's looking like it's going in a xander/Phelanpt direction. I can decide later and not have to find and edit this post.


Vicious: You're missing the point. xander basically started it, you finished it.
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Postby DTNC Vicious » Fri Jan 13, 2012 4:08 am

yeah i know
-Vic
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Postby shinygerbil » Fri Jan 13, 2012 9:03 am

Well I am genuinely surprised that the wolves decided to kill off one of the easier targets for lynching today. Seems to me it would have been better for them to keep him alive, but clearly what do I know?

As for who to be stringing up today, it's a tough choice...we have several suspicious-looking candidates; over-agressive xander, bandwagoning Vicious, zealous Phelanpt.

Still not sure which way to go - and not 100% sure about certain others such as zjoere still - so I'll wait and see, for now
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Postby ynbniar » Fri Jan 13, 2012 9:22 am

A lot of suspicious minds out there today. I'm waiting for further developments.
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Postby zjoere » Fri Jan 13, 2012 9:44 am

We can't go on together with suspicious minds. And we can't build our dreams on suspicious minds.

On a more serious note we still don't have much to go on. Although I don't see a point in voting for seitaro. If he remains inactive he'll die at the end of the day right? So voting for him would be a bit of a waste. Microchips is the more suspicious one of the non-voters imo since he was active but decided not to vote. Maybe he didn't want to draw any attention? But then again it's also a possibility he just forgot to vote. So many suspects, so little to go on.
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Postby microchip08 » Fri Jan 13, 2012 12:09 pm

zjoere wrote:Maybe he didn't want to draw any attention?


I didn't have any good reason to vote for anyone, and didn't particularly want to make enemies by bandwagoning.
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Postby Xarlaxas » Fri Jan 13, 2012 1:22 pm

shinygerbil wrote:Well I am genuinely surprised that the wolves decided to kill off one of the easier targets for lynching today. Seems to me it would have been better for them to keep him alive, but clearly what do I know?


It makes me think that the wolves might be rather inexperienced or really hated Jordy. . . .

That would make me think Vicious and/or Seitaro might be wolves (no idea how many wolves we have though), or xander could be one trying to deflect suspicion by voting for someone who ends up being eaten. . . .

Or, we could have uncoordinated wolves who ended up tying with their votes and Jordy didn't make the coin toss a second time?

I must admit I'm quite suspicious of Seitaro because he hasn't posted yet, and wolves who keep quiet as much as possible tend to survive quite well because people like zjoere always say "well, they'll be killed for being inactive." Of coures, this might mean that zjoere is a wolf and is protecting his lazy wolf brother?

I think I'm going to wait and see if seitaro actually becomes active, if he does I'll vote for him, if he doesn't then he'll just die anyway. . . .
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Postby zjoere » Fri Jan 13, 2012 2:58 pm

microchip08 wrote:
zjoere wrote:Maybe he didn't want to draw any attention?


I didn't have any good reason to vote for anyone, and didn't particularly want to make enemies by bandwagoning.


ok fair enough I guess
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Postby Cooper42 » Fri Jan 13, 2012 3:11 pm

Phelanpt's late move to Feud with no reasoning was odd.

The vote today, whilst obviously for an inactive player, again came with no grounding.

Not wanting to give reasons for voting or changing votes suggests they know something we don't (and isn't it a bit early to be that well informed?)
Or don't want to give their reasonings and cannot come up with a decent lie...


Still not sure what to make of the Jordy killing though.
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Postby DTNC Vicious » Fri Jan 13, 2012 3:44 pm

I really didn't think Jordy would be killed, but whatever
-Vic

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